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The recent credit crisis has made all the mainstream media outlets in Canada - including Canada's two national newspapers - go out of their way to point out that Canada is not Greece. Yet while we're not Greece, the government of Quebec in Canada is just on the verge of becoming Greece - and in terms of the scale of the crisis, it could soon be the largest and longest.
According to data from the Institute of Fiscal Studies and Democracy (INFRASO) in Montreal, Quebec's provincial debt as a percentage of GDP is around 90 percent, more than twice the national average of 45 percent. As of July, Quebec's debt hit $178.3 billion, nearly 10 percent of the country's GDP. By comparison, the average Greek debt as a percentage of GDP in 2010 was 87 percent.
The budget deficit of Quebec is also at least twice that of the national average. Last year, it hit 10.4 percent of GDP compared to the national average of 5.4 percent. In order to balance this budget, Quebec has simply borrowed more than three times the amount of money that it takes to pay for its annual budget expenditures.
In 2009, the Quebec government ran a deficit of $8.1 billion. Yet this year it has budgeted to run a deficit of $4.6 billion. For context, in 2008 the government ran a deficit of $3.5 billion.
This week, the opposition Liberals introduced a resolution in the National Assembly to abolish the government's deficit. The Liberals argue that the federal government's transfer payments to Quebec are enough to cover Quebec's annual budget deficit of $4.6 billion.
But the reality is that the government of Quebec is not even close to covering its expenses. According to INFRASO, Quebec's deficit will be $4.9 billion this year - $1.8 billion more than what the province has budgeted. Last year, the government's deficit was $3.2 billion, a difference of $1.8 billion.
The main reason for Quebec's large deficit is its $13.6 billion in transfers to households, provinces and municipalities. These transfers, made to cover the deficit of government services, are at an all time high.
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